Births in Paris, analysis of recent changes

Births in Paris, analysis of recent changes

The birth rate in Paris has shown a downward trend these past three years. The number of births recorded at the mother’s residence has gone down progressively from 31,450 in 2010 to 28,945 in 2013 i.e. about 2,500 fewer births in 3 years (- 8 %). This decrease in the birth rate affects all districts, with the exception of the 12th arrondissement.

Ile-de-France and France also recorded a decrease in the birth rate between 2010 and 2013 although it is less pronounced (- 3 % in France, - 2 % in Ile-de France).

Parisian women, who are more highly qualified and more often high-achievers, tend to delay the arrival of their first child. The discrepancy shows up as a significant decrease in procreation in women aged 20-24 and most of all 25-29-year-olds, compensated for in part by a rise in those aged 35-39. This trend is fairly generalized in France but more marked in Paris. This deferment in the birth calendar also has an impact on the total number of children per woman, as fertility decreases noticeably after the age of 35. This trend is clearly being exacerbated by the current situation because in a stagnant economic context with low levels of confidence in the future, the most highly-qualified women have a tendency to delay the arrival of the first child, in contrast to less well-qualified women.

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